India just shot down a satellite from the ground. At what altitude range is the resulting debris field? The Next CEO of Stack OverflowWhy would a box full of 1cm balls released into LEO be so scary to an engineer supporting the ISS? - (Updated)Who is accountable for damage caused by the debris field of a successful ASAT testWhat did India's recently tested ASAT vehicle really look like?What was the lifetime of the debris from the US Anti-satellite exercise for USA-193?What are the causes of breakups of spent 2nd and 3rd stages, resulting in orbital debris?What is the linear dimension/mass/possible energy state of the smallest trackable orbital debris item?How is the Hubble main mirror protected from debris?What systems or technologies are developed to protect ISS from space debris?What is the typical relative impact velocity of orbital debris in low Earth orbit?What is the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) Secondary Payload Adapter (ESPA) Augmented Geosynchronous Laboratory Experiment satellite?What would be the first noticeable consequences to the general public of widespread satellite destruction?

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India just shot down a satellite from the ground. At what altitude range is the resulting debris field?



The Next CEO of Stack OverflowWhy would a box full of 1cm balls released into LEO be so scary to an engineer supporting the ISS? - (Updated)Who is accountable for damage caused by the debris field of a successful ASAT testWhat did India's recently tested ASAT vehicle really look like?What was the lifetime of the debris from the US Anti-satellite exercise for USA-193?What are the causes of breakups of spent 2nd and 3rd stages, resulting in orbital debris?What is the linear dimension/mass/possible energy state of the smallest trackable orbital debris item?How is the Hubble main mirror protected from debris?What systems or technologies are developed to protect ISS from space debris?What is the typical relative impact velocity of orbital debris in low Earth orbit?What is the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) Secondary Payload Adapter (ESPA) Augmented Geosynchronous Laboratory Experiment satellite?What would be the first noticeable consequences to the general public of widespread satellite destruction?










27












$begingroup$


This tweet from India's prime minister Narendra Modi says:




मेरे प्यारे देशवासियों,



आज सवेरे लगभग 11.45 - 12.00 बजे मैं एक महत्वपूर्ण संदेश लेकर आप के बीच आऊँगा।



I would be addressing the nation at around 11:45 AM - 12.00 noon with an important message.



Do watch the address on television, radio or social media.




There are several subsequent tweets with more specifics, including this one:




In the journey of every nation there are moments that bring utmost pride and have a historic impact on generations to come.



One such moment is today.



India has successfully tested the Anti-Satellite (ASAT) Missile. Congratulations to everyone on the success of #MissionShakti.




Question: At what range of altitudes is the resulting debris field?



note: I'm not asking for just a guess or speculation, please include a source of some type.




YouTube: DRDO's Anti Satellite (A-SAT) Test Visuals



From Times of India's Watch: Launch of anti-satellite missile for Mission Shakti:



India ASAT










share|improve this question











$endgroup$







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if their shrapnel burst takes out other satellites... will they be held accountable?
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday










  • $begingroup$
    space.stackexchange.com/questions/35098/…
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    economictimes.indiatimes.com: 10 things you need to know about ASAT, India's new space slayer
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday











  • $begingroup$
    just asked: Who is accountable for the resultant damage caused by the debris field of an ASAT
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday







  • 11




    $begingroup$
    "Shot down" is the wrong term here, because most if not all of it is still up there. "Blew up", maybe?
    $endgroup$
    – jamesqf
    yesterday















27












$begingroup$


This tweet from India's prime minister Narendra Modi says:




मेरे प्यारे देशवासियों,



आज सवेरे लगभग 11.45 - 12.00 बजे मैं एक महत्वपूर्ण संदेश लेकर आप के बीच आऊँगा।



I would be addressing the nation at around 11:45 AM - 12.00 noon with an important message.



Do watch the address on television, radio or social media.




There are several subsequent tweets with more specifics, including this one:




In the journey of every nation there are moments that bring utmost pride and have a historic impact on generations to come.



One such moment is today.



India has successfully tested the Anti-Satellite (ASAT) Missile. Congratulations to everyone on the success of #MissionShakti.




Question: At what range of altitudes is the resulting debris field?



note: I'm not asking for just a guess or speculation, please include a source of some type.




YouTube: DRDO's Anti Satellite (A-SAT) Test Visuals



From Times of India's Watch: Launch of anti-satellite missile for Mission Shakti:



India ASAT










share|improve this question











$endgroup$







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if their shrapnel burst takes out other satellites... will they be held accountable?
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday










  • $begingroup$
    space.stackexchange.com/questions/35098/…
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    economictimes.indiatimes.com: 10 things you need to know about ASAT, India's new space slayer
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday











  • $begingroup$
    just asked: Who is accountable for the resultant damage caused by the debris field of an ASAT
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday







  • 11




    $begingroup$
    "Shot down" is the wrong term here, because most if not all of it is still up there. "Blew up", maybe?
    $endgroup$
    – jamesqf
    yesterday













27












27








27


2



$begingroup$


This tweet from India's prime minister Narendra Modi says:




मेरे प्यारे देशवासियों,



आज सवेरे लगभग 11.45 - 12.00 बजे मैं एक महत्वपूर्ण संदेश लेकर आप के बीच आऊँगा।



I would be addressing the nation at around 11:45 AM - 12.00 noon with an important message.



Do watch the address on television, radio or social media.




There are several subsequent tweets with more specifics, including this one:




In the journey of every nation there are moments that bring utmost pride and have a historic impact on generations to come.



One such moment is today.



India has successfully tested the Anti-Satellite (ASAT) Missile. Congratulations to everyone on the success of #MissionShakti.




Question: At what range of altitudes is the resulting debris field?



note: I'm not asking for just a guess or speculation, please include a source of some type.




YouTube: DRDO's Anti Satellite (A-SAT) Test Visuals



From Times of India's Watch: Launch of anti-satellite missile for Mission Shakti:



India ASAT










share|improve this question











$endgroup$




This tweet from India's prime minister Narendra Modi says:




मेरे प्यारे देशवासियों,



आज सवेरे लगभग 11.45 - 12.00 बजे मैं एक महत्वपूर्ण संदेश लेकर आप के बीच आऊँगा।



I would be addressing the nation at around 11:45 AM - 12.00 noon with an important message.



Do watch the address on television, radio or social media.




There are several subsequent tweets with more specifics, including this one:




In the journey of every nation there are moments that bring utmost pride and have a historic impact on generations to come.



One such moment is today.



India has successfully tested the Anti-Satellite (ASAT) Missile. Congratulations to everyone on the success of #MissionShakti.




Question: At what range of altitudes is the resulting debris field?



note: I'm not asking for just a guess or speculation, please include a source of some type.




YouTube: DRDO's Anti Satellite (A-SAT) Test Visuals



From Times of India's Watch: Launch of anti-satellite missile for Mission Shakti:



India ASAT







debris military weapon india






share|improve this question















share|improve this question













share|improve this question




share|improve this question








edited yesterday







uhoh

















asked yesterday









uhohuhoh

39.7k18149502




39.7k18149502







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if their shrapnel burst takes out other satellites... will they be held accountable?
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday










  • $begingroup$
    space.stackexchange.com/questions/35098/…
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    economictimes.indiatimes.com: 10 things you need to know about ASAT, India's new space slayer
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday











  • $begingroup$
    just asked: Who is accountable for the resultant damage caused by the debris field of an ASAT
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday







  • 11




    $begingroup$
    "Shot down" is the wrong term here, because most if not all of it is still up there. "Blew up", maybe?
    $endgroup$
    – jamesqf
    yesterday












  • 1




    $begingroup$
    So if their shrapnel burst takes out other satellites... will they be held accountable?
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday










  • $begingroup$
    space.stackexchange.com/questions/35098/…
    $endgroup$
    – Magic Octopus Urn
    yesterday






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    economictimes.indiatimes.com: 10 things you need to know about ASAT, India's new space slayer
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday











  • $begingroup$
    just asked: Who is accountable for the resultant damage caused by the debris field of an ASAT
    $endgroup$
    – uhoh
    yesterday







  • 11




    $begingroup$
    "Shot down" is the wrong term here, because most if not all of it is still up there. "Blew up", maybe?
    $endgroup$
    – jamesqf
    yesterday







1




1




$begingroup$
So if their shrapnel burst takes out other satellites... will they be held accountable?
$endgroup$
– Magic Octopus Urn
yesterday




$begingroup$
So if their shrapnel burst takes out other satellites... will they be held accountable?
$endgroup$
– Magic Octopus Urn
yesterday












$begingroup$
space.stackexchange.com/questions/35098/…
$endgroup$
– Magic Octopus Urn
yesterday




$begingroup$
space.stackexchange.com/questions/35098/…
$endgroup$
– Magic Octopus Urn
yesterday




1




1




$begingroup$
economictimes.indiatimes.com: 10 things you need to know about ASAT, India's new space slayer
$endgroup$
– uhoh
yesterday





$begingroup$
economictimes.indiatimes.com: 10 things you need to know about ASAT, India's new space slayer
$endgroup$
– uhoh
yesterday













$begingroup$
just asked: Who is accountable for the resultant damage caused by the debris field of an ASAT
$endgroup$
– uhoh
yesterday





$begingroup$
just asked: Who is accountable for the resultant damage caused by the debris field of an ASAT
$endgroup$
– uhoh
yesterday





11




11




$begingroup$
"Shot down" is the wrong term here, because most if not all of it is still up there. "Blew up", maybe?
$endgroup$
– jamesqf
yesterday




$begingroup$
"Shot down" is the wrong term here, because most if not all of it is still up there. "Blew up", maybe?
$endgroup$
– jamesqf
yesterday










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes


















24












$begingroup$

The apogee/ perigee of 2019-006A, the object likely shot down, was 260- 282 km, pretty low. Some of that debris could be quite a bit higher, but most of it will be lower, and all of it will have a new perigee/ apogee in that range, which will likely be shrinking quickly. It is expected that it will be similar to the debris cloud from USA-193 (Operation Burnt Frost), which had the following debris cloud Gabbard Plot (From Celestrak). Note that all debris reentered within 18 months after that operation, and most within a few days. I suspect it won't be quite as energetic, as there presumably isn't as much fuel quick could cause a significant energy event, but it's the best we have for now.



enter image description here



The best place to look would be from Space-Track's new catalog objects not associated with a launch. That data should be available soon. If you want to follow someone on Twitter to find out more, I recommend Jonathan McDowell






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$




















    13












    $begingroup$

    At this time, it is not yet known. There are some 250 objects observed, but it takes time to catalog them all. The object destroyed was most likely MICROSAT-R (TLE catalog number 43947, which is in a 294 x 265 km orbit at 96 degrees inclination.



    Due to the nature of the event, it's likely some of the objects have apogees well above ISS orbit. At this time, there is little to no public data available. When it comes available, you can expect to see it at space-track.org and celestrak.org in addition to the twitter account @TSKelso.






    share|improve this answer









    $endgroup$








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
      $endgroup$
      – uhoh
      yesterday






    • 4




      $begingroup$
      At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
      $endgroup$
      – Tristan
      yesterday






    • 3




      $begingroup$
      Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
      $endgroup$
      – Harish
      yesterday






    • 2




      $begingroup$
      Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
      $endgroup$
      – Tristan
      12 hours ago











    Your Answer





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    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes








    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes









    24












    $begingroup$

    The apogee/ perigee of 2019-006A, the object likely shot down, was 260- 282 km, pretty low. Some of that debris could be quite a bit higher, but most of it will be lower, and all of it will have a new perigee/ apogee in that range, which will likely be shrinking quickly. It is expected that it will be similar to the debris cloud from USA-193 (Operation Burnt Frost), which had the following debris cloud Gabbard Plot (From Celestrak). Note that all debris reentered within 18 months after that operation, and most within a few days. I suspect it won't be quite as energetic, as there presumably isn't as much fuel quick could cause a significant energy event, but it's the best we have for now.



    enter image description here



    The best place to look would be from Space-Track's new catalog objects not associated with a launch. That data should be available soon. If you want to follow someone on Twitter to find out more, I recommend Jonathan McDowell






    share|improve this answer











    $endgroup$

















      24












      $begingroup$

      The apogee/ perigee of 2019-006A, the object likely shot down, was 260- 282 km, pretty low. Some of that debris could be quite a bit higher, but most of it will be lower, and all of it will have a new perigee/ apogee in that range, which will likely be shrinking quickly. It is expected that it will be similar to the debris cloud from USA-193 (Operation Burnt Frost), which had the following debris cloud Gabbard Plot (From Celestrak). Note that all debris reentered within 18 months after that operation, and most within a few days. I suspect it won't be quite as energetic, as there presumably isn't as much fuel quick could cause a significant energy event, but it's the best we have for now.



      enter image description here



      The best place to look would be from Space-Track's new catalog objects not associated with a launch. That data should be available soon. If you want to follow someone on Twitter to find out more, I recommend Jonathan McDowell






      share|improve this answer











      $endgroup$















        24












        24








        24





        $begingroup$

        The apogee/ perigee of 2019-006A, the object likely shot down, was 260- 282 km, pretty low. Some of that debris could be quite a bit higher, but most of it will be lower, and all of it will have a new perigee/ apogee in that range, which will likely be shrinking quickly. It is expected that it will be similar to the debris cloud from USA-193 (Operation Burnt Frost), which had the following debris cloud Gabbard Plot (From Celestrak). Note that all debris reentered within 18 months after that operation, and most within a few days. I suspect it won't be quite as energetic, as there presumably isn't as much fuel quick could cause a significant energy event, but it's the best we have for now.



        enter image description here



        The best place to look would be from Space-Track's new catalog objects not associated with a launch. That data should be available soon. If you want to follow someone on Twitter to find out more, I recommend Jonathan McDowell






        share|improve this answer











        $endgroup$



        The apogee/ perigee of 2019-006A, the object likely shot down, was 260- 282 km, pretty low. Some of that debris could be quite a bit higher, but most of it will be lower, and all of it will have a new perigee/ apogee in that range, which will likely be shrinking quickly. It is expected that it will be similar to the debris cloud from USA-193 (Operation Burnt Frost), which had the following debris cloud Gabbard Plot (From Celestrak). Note that all debris reentered within 18 months after that operation, and most within a few days. I suspect it won't be quite as energetic, as there presumably isn't as much fuel quick could cause a significant energy event, but it's the best we have for now.



        enter image description here



        The best place to look would be from Space-Track's new catalog objects not associated with a launch. That data should be available soon. If you want to follow someone on Twitter to find out more, I recommend Jonathan McDowell







        share|improve this answer














        share|improve this answer



        share|improve this answer








        edited yesterday

























        answered yesterday









        PearsonArtPhotoPearsonArtPhoto

        83.6k16241459




        83.6k16241459





















            13












            $begingroup$

            At this time, it is not yet known. There are some 250 objects observed, but it takes time to catalog them all. The object destroyed was most likely MICROSAT-R (TLE catalog number 43947, which is in a 294 x 265 km orbit at 96 degrees inclination.



            Due to the nature of the event, it's likely some of the objects have apogees well above ISS orbit. At this time, there is little to no public data available. When it comes available, you can expect to see it at space-track.org and celestrak.org in addition to the twitter account @TSKelso.






            share|improve this answer









            $endgroup$








            • 1




              $begingroup$
              as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
              $endgroup$
              – uhoh
              yesterday






            • 4




              $begingroup$
              At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              yesterday






            • 3




              $begingroup$
              Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
              $endgroup$
              – Harish
              yesterday






            • 2




              $begingroup$
              Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              12 hours ago















            13












            $begingroup$

            At this time, it is not yet known. There are some 250 objects observed, but it takes time to catalog them all. The object destroyed was most likely MICROSAT-R (TLE catalog number 43947, which is in a 294 x 265 km orbit at 96 degrees inclination.



            Due to the nature of the event, it's likely some of the objects have apogees well above ISS orbit. At this time, there is little to no public data available. When it comes available, you can expect to see it at space-track.org and celestrak.org in addition to the twitter account @TSKelso.






            share|improve this answer









            $endgroup$








            • 1




              $begingroup$
              as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
              $endgroup$
              – uhoh
              yesterday






            • 4




              $begingroup$
              At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              yesterday






            • 3




              $begingroup$
              Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
              $endgroup$
              – Harish
              yesterday






            • 2




              $begingroup$
              Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              12 hours ago













            13












            13








            13





            $begingroup$

            At this time, it is not yet known. There are some 250 objects observed, but it takes time to catalog them all. The object destroyed was most likely MICROSAT-R (TLE catalog number 43947, which is in a 294 x 265 km orbit at 96 degrees inclination.



            Due to the nature of the event, it's likely some of the objects have apogees well above ISS orbit. At this time, there is little to no public data available. When it comes available, you can expect to see it at space-track.org and celestrak.org in addition to the twitter account @TSKelso.






            share|improve this answer









            $endgroup$



            At this time, it is not yet known. There are some 250 objects observed, but it takes time to catalog them all. The object destroyed was most likely MICROSAT-R (TLE catalog number 43947, which is in a 294 x 265 km orbit at 96 degrees inclination.



            Due to the nature of the event, it's likely some of the objects have apogees well above ISS orbit. At this time, there is little to no public data available. When it comes available, you can expect to see it at space-track.org and celestrak.org in addition to the twitter account @TSKelso.







            share|improve this answer












            share|improve this answer



            share|improve this answer










            answered yesterday









            TristanTristan

            11.2k13857




            11.2k13857







            • 1




              $begingroup$
              as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
              $endgroup$
              – uhoh
              yesterday






            • 4




              $begingroup$
              At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              yesterday






            • 3




              $begingroup$
              Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
              $endgroup$
              – Harish
              yesterday






            • 2




              $begingroup$
              Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              12 hours ago












            • 1




              $begingroup$
              as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
              $endgroup$
              – uhoh
              yesterday






            • 4




              $begingroup$
              At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              yesterday






            • 3




              $begingroup$
              Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
              $endgroup$
              – Harish
              yesterday






            • 2




              $begingroup$
              Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
              $endgroup$
              – Tristan
              12 hours ago







            1




            1




            $begingroup$
            as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
            $endgroup$
            – uhoh
            yesterday




            $begingroup$
            as if a box full of marbles wasn't enough for you guys to worry about already.
            $endgroup$
            – uhoh
            yesterday




            4




            4




            $begingroup$
            At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
            $endgroup$
            – Tristan
            yesterday




            $begingroup$
            At least this debris field is expected to be short-lived, unlike the Chinese ASAT test.
            $endgroup$
            – Tristan
            yesterday




            3




            3




            $begingroup$
            Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
            $endgroup$
            – Harish
            yesterday




            $begingroup$
            Not sure if the debris cloud will be short-lived, since it is a low solar activity period.
            $endgroup$
            – Harish
            yesterday




            2




            2




            $begingroup$
            Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
            $endgroup$
            – Tristan
            12 hours ago




            $begingroup$
            Even at nearly record low solar activity, orbit lifetimes with perigees below 300 km are many orders of magnitude shorter than those at 900-ish km.
            $endgroup$
            – Tristan
            12 hours ago

















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